The Lagos State Government has issued an early warning to residents, forecasting above-normal rainfall and a prolonged rainy season extending into December 2025.
Mr. Tokunbo Wahab, the state Commissioner for Environment and Water Resources, announced during a Seasonal Climate Prediction (SCP) press briefing in Alausa on Sunday that the forecast predicts a “longer-than-usual rainy season, beginning in late March and ending in early December.”
“The rainy season is expected to start as early as the last week of March, while the end of the season is expected in the first week of December. The average annual rainfall amount predicted is 1,936mm, which is greater than the long-term 1991–2020 average,” Wahab disclosed.
He attributed the forecast to the neutral phase of the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO), which is expected to persist for the first six to eight months of the year.
“Lagos State, alongside neighbouring Ogun State, will see an increase in rainfall, with Ikeja, Badagry, Ikorodu, Lagos Island, and Epe all experiencing above-normal precipitation levels. For instance, Ikeja is expected to have an onset date of April 2 and a cessation date of December 2, with an annual rainfall amount of 1,900mm. Badagry will see its first rains on March 30 and end on December 4, with 1,978mm of rainfall,” he detailed.
The commissioner warned of potential flash floods, particularly in low-lying areas, and strong winds at the start and end of the rainy season, which could endanger lives, property, and economic activities.
“We anticipate that the high amounts of rainfall may lead to flash flooding events in some parts of the state. Strong winds are expected during the onset and end of the season, which could disrupt commercial activities, cause flight delays, and lead to revenue losses,” he cautioned.
Wahab assured residents that the state government is enhancing flood control measures to mitigate the impact of the predicted rainfall. He emphasized the importance of collaboration with the Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet) for early warning and climate adaptation. “The ministry is collaborating with NiMet in the annual Seasonal Climate Prediction, which has been a vital tool for farmers, planners, decision-makers, and businesses that could be affected by the rainy season,” he said.
He urged Lagosians to remain vigilant, stay informed through official weather updates, and take necessary precautions to protect themselves and their property.
“Lagosians have been urged to stay alert, follow official weather updates, and take necessary precautions to safeguard their lives and properties as the Greater Lagos prepares for an intense rainy season,” he concluded.
