In a new national poll conducted by Atlas Intel, Donald Trump holds a three-point lead over Vice President Kamala Harris in a hypothetical 2024 presidential matchup.
Trump, with 51% of the vote, outpaces Harris, who stands at 48%.
Atlas Intel, which was notably the most accurate national pollster during the 2020 election, provides a glimpse into a tight race that could see significant competition in key swing states.
The swing state polling is where the contest becomes particularly intriguing. Trump leads in several battlegrounds, including:
- Pennsylvania: Trump +3.3
- Michigan: Trump +2.8
- Georgia: Trump +1.4
- Arizona: Trump +0.6
- Nevada: Trump +0.3
However, Harris leads in two critical swing states:
- North Carolina: Harris +0.7
- Wisconsin: Harris +0.7
According to the electoral vote breakdown from the poll, Trump would secure 286 electoral votes to Harris’ 252, giving the former president a narrow victory in the Electoral College.
The poll was conducted with 4,180 likely voters, providing an early snapshot of what could be a closely contested 2024 election. As the race heats up, these swing states are likely to be decisive in determining the outcome.